The US military thrust towards the Gulf, on the pretext of threats from Iran, has sent winds of concern globally. With the US's fully equipped fighter vessel and bomber aircraft taking positions in in the Red Sea, and in the US military base in Qatar, coupled with strong words of threats from Washington, observers point out that a war-like atmosphere has been created in the region, comparable to that of Iraq war.
It is when the withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Iran is into a year that US National Security Advisor John Bolton revealed last Sunday that the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and bomber task force were being deployed in the Gulf. In addition, the fully equipped fighter vessel USS Arlington with US Marines, vehicles with land and naval striking force and Patriot aerial defence system joined the US build-up the other day. Bolton warned that the military deployment is in the backdrop of the increasing security concern in the region and that any Iranian attack against the interests of the US and its allies would be met with severe retaliation. He also said that the US does not want a war with Iran, but in the event of any attack directly from Teheran, its Islamic Revolutionary Guard or other armed groups, the US was fully armed for that.
Bolton has not given any explanation about the nature, or evidence of threat posted by Iran. State
Secretary Mike Pompeo says that Iran's actions destabilize West Asia. On Friday US Maritime Administration had released a warning that Iran was likely to attack US commercial ships and oil tankers. On the other hand, Iran dismisses the US threats as a 'psychological war'. It says that the deployment of USS Abraham Lincoln is an old story, but admit that the current situation is worse than the time of the war with Iraq.
Ever since America in May last year withdrew unilaterally from the nuclear deal signed in 2015, it has been making preparations to first isolate Iran through sanctions and then for attacks and occupation, in the model adopted for Iraq. The US, which had allowed a year's time for all countries that had oil deals with Iran to withdraw from their agreements, had recently warned that the deadline would not be extended for any reason. Further, last month America included Iran's Republican Army in the US list of terrorist outfits. It is for the first time that America assigns terrorist classification to a country's official military arm.
With the ultimatum against Iran's oil exports to end this month, the Trump administration is warming up to put Iran under the stress of embargo, disarm and then attack Iran. As a prelude to that, last week the US administration also issued an order banning trade in iron and steel, aluminium and copper also with Iran. The move aims at crippling Iran's metal industry which forms 10 percent of its export revenue. Thus America's hasty move is to weaken Iran financially by one embargo after another, and then pave the way to attack it on the back of allegations.
There were charges levelled against Iran that Tehran was aiming at American military targets. It is after their own officials dismissing them as exaggerated that the US is holding up threats of attacks to beat the drums of war. And president Trump is repeating that US is always ready for talks with Iran, and would listen to any ideas by Iran subject to American conditions. The crux is that US wants everything to be in subservience to its fiats. The 12-point proposal put forward by US for exempting Iran from sanctions, was earlier rejected by Iran. The position of the Republican Guards is that the US attempt is to destroy the sovereign nation of Iran, and therefore, the country should not go for talks with US.
Putting pieces together, it becomes clear that in the case of Iran, US is seeking the same path that it had adopted for the occupation of Iraq in 2003. But hazarding a war with Iran will not be as easy as it did with Iraq then. Given the roots Iran has all over West Asia, there is a significant observation about a 'doomsday crisis' that may be created by a war aiming at cutting off all those roots. And hence the uncertainty of the world about what the bullying act of Trump – who sees everything as business - will be that disturbs the peace of the world.