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India's second COVID wave may wane after a peak from May 7: Expert

Indias second COVID wave may wane after a peak from May 7: Expert

India's COVID cases will likely show a downward trend from May 7 after reaching a peak, Prof M Vidyasagar, the government's mathematical modelling expert on Covid-19 case predictions, said to India Today TV during an interview.

Since the daily Covid numbers keep fluctuating, he took a seven day rolling average to come to this conclusion.

If this holds true, it would be a huge relief for the country which is already falling short of health infrastructure and equipment ranging from oxygen to ventilators.

Prof Vidyasagar noted that different states would attain their peak at different times, as it's currently seen in the case of Maharashtra.

He also predicted that states that are closer to Maharashtra would attain their peaks first and their graph will start declining soon, compared to states that are located far from Maharashtra.

Meanwhile, experts have different opinions on India's second waves peak dates. Dr Ashish Jha who is a Dean at the Brown University School of Public Health disagrees with Prof Vidyasagar.

Jha predicts that only effective policies can bring in a dramatic decline in cases from the current level and suggested that the end of the second wave would largely depend on how well we do in regard to testing and vaccination, along with prevention methods to contain the further spread of the virus.

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TAGS:India Covid19 Prof M Vidyasagar 
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