New Delhi: Rainfall in the first week of June has been normal but an intensifying cyclonic storm in the Arabian Sea, which already has wind gusting at 85 km per hour, has raised some concerns after it initially energised the monsoon.
The monsoon has not advanced after its covered Kerala, Tamil Nadu, parts of Karnataka and the northeastern region in the last two days.
The weather office says conditions are favourable for further advance of the monsoon in the next two days, but private forecaster Skymet, on the other hand, said rainfall would increase only after a few days. So far, cumulative rainfall in the first week of June has been 24 mm, a shade above the normal of 23.9 mm. In the northern and western parts of the country, rainfall was 27% more than normal, while east and northeast rain was 13% in excess. Southern India had a small deficit of 5% during the week. Only central India has had significantly below-normal rain, falling 26% short of average in the first seven days of the month.
International meteorologists say that the swirling mass of clouds, about 700 km southwest of Mumbai is already a cyclonic storm that is intensifying with the help of warm waters in the Arabian Sea and heading northwards with a potential to hit the region between Gujarat and Oman. The weather office in India says the storm has intensified but not yet a cyclone.
Meteorologists say cyclones have the potential to disrupt weather systems as the swirling mass of high-speed wind and clouds carries energy comparable with 100 hydrogen bombs. In 2009, cyclone Aila had shaken the monsoon current in the Bay of Bengal as it sucked in cold, dry air from the north.